In Memory of Eric Pianka

In Memory of Eric PiankaIn Memory of Eric PiankaIn Memory of Eric Pianka

In Memory of Eric Pianka

In Memory of Eric PiankaIn Memory of Eric PiankaIn Memory of Eric Pianka
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    • BAZOOKA BLAST 1952
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    • LIST OF ERP'S BOOKS
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    • Pianka's Pages
      • GRADUATE STUDENTS
      • LETTER TO GRAD STUDENTS
      • PIANKA'S TEN COMMANDMENTS
      • MY FAVORITE LIZARD
      • 2002 REVIEW
      • CITATION CLASSIC
    • ON HUMAN NATURE
    • On Human Nature PDF
    • ERP's ECOPOETRY
    • POPULATION GROWTH
    • OVERPOPULATION
    • Our One & Only Spaceship
  • Home
  • Contact Us
  • BAZOOKA BLAST 1952
  • MY IDYLLIC CAREER
  • LIST OF ERP'S BOOKS
  • HAMILTON PRIZE
  • DOMINO EFFECTS
  • "DEAD FOR A DAY"
  • HONORS AND AWARDS
  • Pianka's Pages
    • GRADUATE STUDENTS
    • LETTER TO GRAD STUDENTS
    • PIANKA'S TEN COMMANDMENTS
    • MY FAVORITE LIZARD
    • 2002 REVIEW
    • CITATION CLASSIC
  • ON HUMAN NATURE
  • On Human Nature PDF
  • ERP's ECOPOETRY
  • POPULATION GROWTH
  • OVERPOPULATION
  • Our One & Only Spaceship

exponential population growth

© Eric R. Pianka
 
The late Garrett Hardin summarized geometric growth with the simple statement that "what starts  off slow, finishes in a flash."
 

Under optimal conditions, the human gut bacterium, Escherichia coli,  can double every  20 minutes.  Beginning with just  a single bacterium, grown in a chemostat at 98.6 degrees F  with ample sugar and other food, the population progresses from one to two in the first 20  minutes, then from 2 to 4 in the second 20 minutes, and then from 4 to 8 in the third 20 minutes.   So, under ideal conditions, one bacterium becomes 8 in just one hour.  If this maximal rate of  increase continues for a day and a half, after only 36 hours, a one-foot deep layer of bacteria  will cover the entire surface of the Earth (land and oceans).  In the next hour, this layer  doubles to two feet deep, then four feet deep, and in only 39 hours, the entire planet is covered  over with an 8 foot deep layer of bacteria.  Such inexorable population growth is known as  exponential or geometric growth and leads to J-shaped populatIon trajectories through time  (see following figure showing bacteria growing exponentially on an agar plate).  

Human populations are growing in exactly the same manner over the land surface of planet Earth.

Such runaway population growth cannot be sustained in a finite world and must eventually lead to a population crash, or even extinction, as in the reindeer example shown below. It is just a matter of time until human populations face the same scenario.

DOWNLOAD OVERPOPULATION

 To appreciate how dire the situation is, 

watch David Suzuki: Now I am scared




Pianka, E. R. 2000. 

Evolutionary Ecology, 6th ed. Addison-Wesley.  

 

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Resolution of Respect for Eric Rodger Pianka: 1939–2022

by Daniel T. Haydon, Kirk O. Winemiller, Mitch Leslie, Brian I. Crother, Ecological Society of America, First published: 09 December 2022
https://doi.org/10.1002/bes2.2038

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